Bad organic milk news on the Horizon

by Timothy McQuiston, Vermont Business Magazine Last week, Horizon Organics notified its Northeast organic milk suppliers that it would be dropping all of its eastern suppliers, including 27 dairies in Vermont. (NOFA-VT estimates they sell about 3 million gallons of milk per year to Horizon.)

Horizon, based in Broomfield, Colorado, is the largest organic dairy company in the US. It, in turn, is a subsidiary of Paris, France-based Danone. We know them best as Dannon yogurt. They also produce Silk and several other brands of yogurt (Danimals, Too Good, Activia).

Horizon is a B Corp that wants to become carbon neutral by 2025.

This will be a difficult task considering that cows produce a lot of methane during their complicated digestive process, create a lot of manure and require a lot of energy along the entire production and transportation stream.

It is the shipping that led Horizon to cut its eastern suppliers, 79 dairies in all.

Horizon said they can get cheaper milk closer to home. California and Texas are by far the largest organic milk producers.

California is also the largest overall milk producer with 41.3 billion pounds produced in 2020, according to the USDA. Wisconsin was second at 30.7 billion pounds. There is then another big drop off to the next three: Idaho at 15.6 billion, New York at 15.1 billion and Texas at 13.8 billion.

Vermont produced 2.6 billion pounds of milk last year. This output ranks the state 18th largest in the nation.

The US in 2020 produced 223.2 billion pounds of milk.

Organic dairies follow a similar pattern to overall production, but is weighted more heavily toward the big western states and also toward larger individual farms.

According to Hoard’s Dairyman, the average organic dairy produces nearly twice as much milk as the average conventional dairy.

Indeed, nine organic farms in Texas produce about a third (821.9 million pounds) of what all 581 dairies in Vermont produce in a year.

Organic Milk Production by State

  1. California: 150 farms produced 889 million pounds of milk
  2. Texas: Nine farms produced 821.9 million pounds of milk
  3. Wisconsin: 525 farms shipped 440.9 million pounds of milk
  4. New York: 607 farms collected 386.7 million pounds
  5. Idaho: 29 farm gathered 364.5 million pounds

Horizon is also giving the Vermont organic dairies a one-year heads up before it ends its supply contracts on August 31, 2022.

Plus, there are other options, but which could have limited capacity.

The Upstate Niagara Cooperative Inc (a very small co-op), Organic Valley and of course New Hampshire-based Stonyfield also process Vermont organic milk.

Several of the Vermont farms themselves process their own organic dairy into milk, cheese, butter, yogurt, ice cream, etc. Cellars at Jasper Hill also uses Vermont organic milk for some of its high-end cheeses.

According to NOFA-VT, Farmers who process their own dairy products include:

In addition, the following businesses process organic milk from Vermont farms:

Meanwhile in an effort to help local farmers survive and thrive, the state of Vermont and its partners, including the federal government, are putting a lot of money and effort into offsetting farming costs, including those associated with phosphorus and carbon mitigation.

Agriculture Secretary Anson Tebbetts and Natural Resources Secretary Julie Moore laid out those efforts during a visit to Vermont by USDA secretary Tom Vilsack on August 19 at a roundtable at the Echo Center in Burlington hosted by Vermont Senator Patrick Leahy.

Two of the main themes at the discussion were Vermont's diversification of its agriculture industry and environmental impacts of farming on the state's waterways. Vermont is in the middle of vigorous and expensive mitigation efforts to reduce pollution and restore the land and water.

The two administration officials, and others at the roundtable, presented much data to support the steps Vermont has made and is continuing to make, on phosphorus and carbon sequestration -- basically letting the land hold these environmental impacts instead of letting them run off into the states waterways or lift into the atmosphere.


USDA Secretary Vilsack visits Vermont, hears much about mitigation


Though produce and livestock farmers are making economic gains in Vermont, dairy continues to suffer beyond the recent Horizon Organic news.

In the year 2000 there were about 2,600 dairy farms in Vermont. By 2010, there were about 1,000 dairies here.

Production, however, didn’t suffer as the farms themselves got bigger to take advantage of economies of scale and each cow itself was producing more milk. This was achieved by milking them more. Self-milking robots helped increase production while reducing manpower.

Now in Vermont, there are 581 total dairy farms in Vermont and 169 of them are certified organic (in 2012 there were 205). Vermont still produces by far the most milk in New England.

The number of dairy cows peaked in 2002 at 154,000. The hundredweight price of milk now is now $17.42. Over the last 20 years it’s fluctuated widely, from a high of $23.63 in 2014 to a low of $15.25 in 2016.

Franklin county has the most dairies, followed by Orleans and Addison counties.

Vermont Dairy Data – August 10, 2021

Category 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Q 1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3
Ave. Milk Price $17.98 $19.60 $23.63 $16.49 $15.25 $16.78 $15.44 $17.46 $16.45 $15.42 $17.42 n/a
Class III price $17.44 $17.99 $22.34 $15.80 $14.87 $15.92 $14.61 $16.96 $18.16 $15.89 $17.95 $16.49
MILC Payment – USDA $0.728 $0.258 $0.00 MPP/MCP Margin level $8.01 $9.68 $7.53 $9.60 $9.65 $6.68 $6.69 n/a
# of VT Cow Dairy Farms 972 939 880 853 838 796 725 677 636 597 584 581
Milk Production USDA 2.56 b lbs. 2.615 b lbs. 2.672 b lbs. 2.666 b lbs. 2.724 billion 2.728 Billion 2.680 Billion 2.695 Billion 2.602 billion 214 mil/mo. 218 mil/mo n/a
Ave. # of cows in VT USDA 133,000 133,000 132,000 132,000 130,000 128,667 126,833 125,583 122,167 119,667 119,000 n/a
Ave. # of cows/ farm 138 142 150 155 155 162 175 185 192 200 204 n/a
Certified Organic Cow Dairy Farms 205 198 184 184 203 199 190 187 169 169 169 169
Off-Farm Dairy Processors 29 36 58 64 78 79 83 88 87 87 88 88
On-Farm Dairy Processors 54 59 62 71 67 68 63 66 67 67 70 70
Total Dairy Processors 83 95 120 135 145 147 146 154 154 154 158 158

Greatest Cow numbers 154,000 in 2002. Total Dairy Processors in 2002= 58

Vermont Dairy Cow Operations by County – 2021

cows                         % change % change  
County Jan. Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec prior month since Jan. Ave.#
Addison 92 90 88 87 87 87 87           0.00% -5.43% 88
Bennington 8 9 12 12 11 11 11           0.00% 37.50% 11
Caledonia 52 52 52 52 52 50 50           0.00% -3.85% 51
Chittenden 40 39 26 26 26 26 26           0.00% -35.00% 30
Essex 11 11 11 11 11 10 10           0.00% -9.09% 11
Franklin 108 100 111 111 111 111 111           0.00% 2.78% 109
Grand Isle 10 9 9 9 9 9 9           0.00% -10.00% 9
Lamoille 23 23 25 25 25 25 25           0.00% 8.70% 24
Orange 54 53 57 57 56 57 57           0.00% 5.56% 56
Orleans 98 95 93 93 92 92 92           0.00% -6.12% 94
Rutland 40 40 36 36 37 37 37           0.00% -7.50% 38
Washington 26 24 21 21 21 21 21           0.00% -19.23% 22
Windham 20 20 19 19 19 19 19           0.00% -5.00% 19
Windsor 28 28 28 28 27 26 26           0.00% -7.14% 27
TOTAL 610 593 588 587 584 581 581           0.00% -4.75% 589

Ave. # dairy farms- 2013 -939, 2014 -880, 2015 – 853, 2016 -838, 2017 – 796, 2018 – 725, 2019 – 677, & 2020 - 636

Dairy Cow Farms By Size – Milking cows

  LFO – over 700 MFO – 200 – 699 SFO –under 200 Total
2012 17 145 810 972
2013 17 142 780 939
2014 25 129 726 880
2015 26 127 700 853
2016 27 138 673 838
2017 32 117 250 CSFO -647 796
2018 34 104 273 CSFO - 587 725
2019 33 105 268 CSFO - 539 677
2020 35 100 198 CSFO – 501 636

CSFO as of January 31, 2018. Certified Small Farms have 50 - milking cows to 199 cows.

From left, Echo Center Executive Director Phelan Fretz, Richmond dairy farmer David Conant, ANR Secretary Julie Moore, USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack, Senator Patrick Leahy, Vermont Agriculture Secretary Anson Tebbetts, State Climatologist Lesley-Ann Dupigny-Giroux, and Vermont Land Trust President Nick Richardson. VBM photo.