Davis & Hodgdon economic survey 'positive' but improvement on business climate needed

Vermont Business Magazine Over 100 Vermont businesses completed the latest semi-annual economic survey in January regarding the outlook of Vermont’s small- to medium-sized businesses. The survey, presented by Davis & Hodgdon Associates CPAs and the Vermont Chamber of Commerce, revealed that while opinions about the Vermont and US economies are moving in a positive direction, there is still a great desire to see improvement in the state’s business climate and tax laws.

  • 18% of businesses exclusive to Vermont believe the state’s economy is in decline (compared to 33% in July); 18% feel it is improving (compared to 14% previously) and 61% indicate there is no change (compared to 48% previously).
  • 24% of businesses doing business outside the state believe the state’s economy is declining (compared to 32% previously); 19% feel it is improving (18% previously); and 46% see no change (47% previously).
  • When asked to describe the current state of the US economy, respondents in both groups appeared more positive than they did in July. 49% feel it is improving (35% in July), only 12% believe it is declining (versus 21% in July), and 31% see no change at all (versus 41% in July).

    Respondents’ expectations for business growth is similar to those from the July survey. 56% expect sales to increase (similar to the 59% who expected growth back in July), 42% intend to increase capital spending (compared to 39% previously), and 40% look to increase the size of their staff (versus 36% in July).

    Respondents identified the top three key issues facing their business as taxes (Federal and State tax laws: 50% and Property tax: 33%), health insurance costs (60%), and finding qualified employees (49%). These are the same key issues that business owners have identified in the previous four semi-annual surveys, however it is noteworthy that they are much more concerned about Vermont tax laws (34%) and Property tax (33%) than with Federal tax laws (20%).

    Similarly, when asked to identify one business economic issue they want to see addressed by the state legislature this year, most respondents expressed continued concern with high taxes, too much (over) regulation, and an overall lack of economic development efforts.

    As noted by one respondent, “Vermont is the most difficult operating environment (cost of doing business) of the five states we operate factories in (MA, MD, AZ, ID).”

    “The results indicate that Vermont needs greater focus on economic development strategies while paying close attention to costly taxes, fees and regulations that curtail further investment,” said, Betsy Bishop, President of the Vermont Chamber of Commerce.

    Business owners were once again asked if they had considered moving their residence outside of Vermont. Survey results revealed that half (50%) of respondents (comparable to the 54% in July) have considered or have put plans in motion to leave Vermont.

    Finally, business owners were asked to describe their mindset about doing business in Vermont and 67% of those surveyed relayed that while doing business in Vermont has its challenges, they are committed to staying because their customers/clients/products/supply chain/environment are here. This is a considerable improvement since July, when only 50% of respondents expressed this same commitment.

    “These results are very much in line with those from the Vermont Business Roundtable (VBR) – Economic & Policy Resources (EPR) quarterly Business Conditions Survey which was also done in January,” said John Davis, managing partner of Davis & Hodgdon Associates. “In their survey of the state’s larger businesses, slightly less than half of responses to the question about the state’s overall business climate outlook were positive (46%). The remaining responses were split between neutral (32%) and negative (22%). Just over half of respondents (51%) shared negative outlooks specifically with ease of hiring for available positions, compared to 60% in the previous survey.”VBR-EPR: Q1 2017 Business Conditions Survey shows 'Positive' outlook

Overall Survey Results:

Davis & Hodgdon Associates Semi-Annual Economic Survey

Please check the top three issues facing your business in 2017:
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Overtime compensation changes
8 7.8%
Minimum wage changes (for those with minimum wage employees)
7 6.8%
Federal Taxes
19 18.6%
Vermont Taxes
34 33.3%
Health insurance costs
61 59.8%
Finding qualified employees
62 60.7%
Sources of financing
7 6.8%
Property tax (education funding)
34 33.3%
Internet security
20 19.6%
Succession planning
20 19.6%
Other
15 14.7%
Totals 102 100%
How would you describe the current state of Vermont's economy?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Improving
19 18.8%
No change
50 49.5%
Declining
23 22.7%
Unsure/Do not know
9 8.9%
No Responses
0 0.0%
Totals 101 100%
How would you describe the current state of the U.S. economy?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Improving
50 49.5%
No change
31 30.6%
Declining
12 11.8%
Unsure/Do not know
7 6.9%
No Responses
1 1%
Totals 101 100%
What is the one key business economic issue that you would like to see addressed bythe state legislature?
Number of
Responses
87
How do you expect your company's sales to change in the next six months?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Increase by less than 10%
33 32.6%
Increase by 10-30%
21 20.7%
Increase by 30+%
2 1.9%
Decrease by less than 10%
11 10.8%
Decrease by 10-30%
5 4.9%
Decrease by 30+%
1 1%
No change
27 26.7%
No Responses
1 1%
Totals 101 100%
How do you expect your company's capital spending to change in the next six months?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Increase by less than 10%
27 26.7%
Increase by 10-30%
15 14.8%
Increase by 30+%
1 1%
Decrease by less than 10%
5 4.9%
Decrease by 10-30%
9 8.9%
Decrease by 30+%
0 0.0%
No change
43 42.5%
No Responses
1 1%
Totals 101 100%
How do you expect your company's employment to change in the next six months?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Increase staffing by 1-3 people
26 25.7%
Increase staffing by 3+ people
15 14.8%
Decrease staffing by 1-3 people
5 4.9%
Decrease staffing by 3+ people
6 5.9%
No change
47 46.5%
No Responses
2 1.9%
Totals 101 100%
Which statements below reflect your mindset about doing business in Vermont over the last 6 months.
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
I love doing business in Vermont.
15 15.0%
While doing business in Vermont has it's challenges, I'm committed to staying here because my customers/ clients/ products/ supply chain/ environment are here.
67 67.0%
I have thought about closing my business or moving it out of state
16 16.0%
Other
8 8.0%
Totals 100 100%
Has Vermont's overall tax burden caused you to consider relocation of your residence in the last 12 months?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Yes, plans were put in motion
14 13.8%
Yes, but not serious consideration
38 37.6%
No
47 46.5%
No Responses
2 1.9%
Totals 101 100%
Please indicate your business industry.
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Agriculture
4 3.9%
Artisan
1 1%
Construction
6 5.9%
Educational Services
3 2.9%
Finance & Insurance
6 5.9%
Health Care & Social Assistance
5 4.9%
Hotel & Restaurant
3 2.9%
Information
4 3.9%
Manufacturing
10 9.9%
Professional, Technical
24 23.7%
Retail trade
9 8.9%
Transportation & Warehousing
4 3.9%
Utilities
0 0.0%
Wholesale Trade
2 1.9%
Other
20 19.8%
No Responses
0 0.0%
Totals 101 100%
County of Headquarters:
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Addison
21 20.7%
Bennington
4 3.9%
Caledonia
0 0.0%
Chittenden
43 42.5%
Essex
0 0.0%
Franklin
0 0.0%
Lamoille
1 1%
Orange
2 1.9%
Orleans
2 1.9%
Rutland
7 6.9%
Washington
4 3.9%
Windham
10 9.9%
Windsor
5 4.9%
No Responses
2 1.9%
Totals 101 100%
Please indicate the scope of your marketplace.
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Exclusive to Vermont
28 27.7%
Multi-state
44 43.5%
National
14 13.8%
International
15 14.8%
No Responses
0 0.0%
Totals 101 100%
If the scope of your marketplace is at the multi-state, national, and/or international level, please indicate the percentage of your business done outside of Vermont.
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Less than 25%
37 36.6%
25-50%
13 12.8%
50-75%
7 6.9%
75+%
16 15.8%
No Responses
28 27.7%
Totals 101 100%
Please identify your total annual revenue in fiscal year 2016.
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
$0 - $250k
14 13.8%
$251k - $1M
25 24.7%
$1.1M - $3M
26 25.7%
$3M+
32 31.6%
No Responses
4 3.9%
Totals 101 100%
Please indicate your business' total number of employees including self.
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
1 - 10
47 46.5%
11 - 25
23 22.7%
26 - 50
9 8.9%
51 - 75
5 4.9%
75+
16 15.8%
No Responses
1 1%
Totals 101 100%
Please enter the information indicated below if you would like additional information including results. (optional)
Answer Number of
Responses
First Name 39
Last Name 38
Company Name 38
Email Address 39
Would you be willing to discuss your survey answers?
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Yes
41 40.5%
No
51 50.4%
No Responses
9 8.9%
Totals 101 100%

About the Survey

The non-scientific survey, customized by Davis & Hodgdon to evaluate small- to medium-sized businesses, was completed by 102 businesses located throughout the state. Full results below:

January 2017 survey results: http://survey.constantcontact.com/survey/a07edkwpr3aiwmfsa3c/results

July 2016 survey results: http://survey.constantcontact.com/survey/a07eceta4j3iluztax4/results

About Davis & Hodgdon

Davis & Hodgdon Associates CPAs is a full-service public accounting firm with locations in Williston and Rutland Vermont. The firm is a member of several diverse regional and statewide business organizations and serves its clients by providing progressive, proactive services through expert staff, high-end technology, and unparalleled efficiency.

About the Vermont Chamber of Commerce

The Vermont Chamber of Commerce is the largest statewide, private, not-for-profit business organization. The Vermont Chamber mission is to create an economic climate conducive to business growth and the preservation of the Vermont quality of life.

Source: WILLISTON, Vt., February 20, 2017 – Davis & Hodgdon Associates CPAs