EAN analysis of recent gasoline price increases on Vermonters

EAN analysis of recent gasoline price increases on Vermonters

Vermont Business Magazine Since the end of February and the start of war in Iran, fossil fuel prices in Vermont have been increasing dramatically. EAN recently analyzed how gasoline price increases are affecting Vermonters and our state economy. The full analysis is available on EAN’s website

Key points – consumer level: 

  • At $3.06/ gallon (the Feb. 27th, pre-war price), the average cost of gasoline per Vermonter was $120 a month. 

  • At the March 11th price of $3.54/gallon, that cost has risen to about $140 a month, or roughly a $20 increase in monthly gasoline costs per Vermonter.

  • Every additional 50 cents a gallon increases average fuel costs for each Vermonter by about $20 a month or $240 per year.

  • If gasoline prices were to rise and remain a dollar per gallon higher (ex. $4/gallon rather than $3/gallon), that would translate to about a $40/month or $475/ year cost increase for the average Vermonter.


Key points – statewide economy: 

Before the Iran War began on Feb. 28, statewide average gasoline prices in Vermont were $3.06 a gallon, and had been right around that price for most of February. Since then, gas prices have risen rapidly. Over the week of March 4-11, gas prices in Vermont rose every single day, but averaged $3.41 over the full week. 

In just the past week, Vermonters paid an additional $2 million in gasoline costs, due to the increase in gas prices. If gas prices had held steady at their pre-war price of $3.06/gallon then nearly $17 million would have been spent on gasoline in Vermont in the last week.  Instead, gasoline averaged $3.41/gallon over the last week, increasing weekly spending on gasoline in the state to nearly $19 million. 

A helpful shorthand is that every extra 50 cents per gallon for gasoline creates about $2.8 million in increased costs to Vermont per week, or about $12 million in increased costs to Vermont per month. 

Over a full year, gasoline at $3.50/ gallon instead of $3.00/gallon would translate to an increase in annual statewide gasoline costs to Vermont of about $143 million dollars. $4.00/gallon gasoline rather than $3.00/gallon would increase annual statewide gasoline costs by about $287 million. 

Unfortunately, the costs to Vermont of continued fossil fuel dependence and exposure to fossil fuel price volatility are not new. About 80% of total average household energy costs in Vermont come from the use of fossil fuels for transportation and heating, creating a large energy cost burden for household budgets. 

Over the years, EAN’s research has identified four key features of fossil fuels. They are expensive; price-volatile; drain money out of the Vermont economy; and are heavily polluting. More information and analysis on energy affordability is available in EAN’s 2025 Annual Progress Report for Vermont

Energy Action Network is both a network and an organization. As a non-profit organization, EAN conducts climate and energy data tracking, research, and analysis on behalf of all Vermonters while also convening and facilitating collaborative meetings among its diverse network of members. The Network’s mission is to achieve Vermont’s climate and energy commitments in ways that create a more just, thriving, and sustainable future.

3.11.2026. Montpelier, VT – Energy Action Network