
Sunset
Leonine Public Affairs The 2023 Vermont legislative session ended right on schedule, late in the evening on May 12. The session was defined by a historically large incoming class of new lawmakers and Democratic supermajorities in both the House and Senate. While the first half of the 2023 legislative session was characteristically slow to get up and running, the final months were filled with dramatic policy debate and political maneuvering.
Since election day 2022, when Democrats claimed supermajorities in the House and Senate, it was clear they were going to pursue major policy initiatives that had previously been considered out of reach due to the veto pen of Republican Governor Phil Scott. Since first elected in 2016, Governor Scott has been mostly successful in countering Democratic policies he disagreed with (Democrats had only successfully overridden two Scott vetoes prior to 2023). Despite Vermont being a deep blue state, this dynamic has provided the moderate Republican governor with significant influence in the crafting of policy and state budgets since he first took office.
An overhaul of the child care system, Paid Family and Medical Leave (PFML) and the implementation of a new Clean Heat Standard are a few examples of initiatives the Democratic supermajorities set out to pass during the 2023 legislative session. Governor Scott and his administration raised concerns early and often about the financial burden they projected would accompany these policies. But Democrats pointed to their success in the 2022 election, saying Vermonters had given them a mandate to move forward with their policy platform.
As the legislative session progressed, it became clear that there was not enough support within the Democratic caucuses to pass comprehensive child care and PFML programs. While Democrats in both chambers supported both initiatives, the House favored PFML and the Senate favored child care. By the crossover deadline the Senate passed landmark child care legislation, which increased annual investment in child care by more than $100 million. The Senate bill, S.56, also included a parental leave component, but PFML proponents argued the Senate proposal fell far short of a comprehensive PFML program. When the House started work on S.56 they tried to craft a revenue package that would fund both child care and a comprehensive PFML program. By the end of the 2023 session Senate and House Democrats were at an impasse on how to fund the two programs. The Senate bill implemented a payroll tax to fund child care, and the House wanted to use a payroll tax to fund PFML. The House proposed to fund child care with increases to the corporate and personal income taxes. After intense behind-the-scenes negotiations child care emerged as the policy that would move forward, funded by a 0.44 percent payroll tax.
Due to procedural time restraints at the end of the legislative session the child care initiative, including the payroll tax, was added to H.217, a workers’ compensation bill that passed the legislature before adjournment. Governor Phil Scott has pledged to veto H.217 and the FY2024 budget (H.494) because of the tax increases and spending priorities outlined in both bills. For example, H.494 also includes DMV fee increases, which the governor opposes.
When the legislature adjourned Democratic leaders set June 20 as the date to return for a veto session. The Democrats proved the power of their supermajorities the week before adjournment when they successfully overrode the veto of S.5, the bill to create a Clean Heat Standard. However, when it comes to the FY2024 budget, Governor Scott appears he may have support from an unlikely source – the progressive wing of the Democratic caucus in the House.
The FY2024 budget eliminates the motel voucher program that was created in response to the COVID-19 emergency. By the final weeks of the legislative session a contingent of about 20 House Democrats and Progressives were vocally opposing the decision to eliminate the motel program. They are threatening to sustain the governor’s veto if Democratic leaders do not find a way to support the roughly 2,800 Vermonters who will be without housing when the motel program ends. When the House held the final vote on H.494, the bills passed 90-53, far short of the 100-vote supermajority needed to override if all House members are present.
Since adjournment there has been a flurry of media coverage of the rift in the Democratic/Progressive caucus in the House, and there is no doubt it will be the top story in Vermont politics in the weeks leading up to the veto session in June. During that time Democratic leaders will work to shore up their supermajority, and Governor Scott will continue to make his case to the public that the Democratic budget is unsustainable for Vermont taxpayers.
It will be an interesting few weeks. Please look for a veto session update from the LPA team later in June. And thank you for following along with us throughout the 2023 legislative session. Have a wonderful summer!
|
|
|

Source: Leonine Public Affairs, Montpelier, Leonine 2023 Legislative Wrap-up. May 19, 2023. leoninepublicaffairs.com.
Through a special arrangement with Leonine, Vermont Business Magazine republishes Leonine's legislative report on vermontbiz.com.

