Survey finds Vermont businesses less pessimistic than earlier in the year

Vermont Business Magazine Nearly 200 Vermont businesses completed the latest semi-annual economic survey in July regarding the outlook of Vermont’s small- to medium-sized businesses. The survey, presented by Davis and Hodgdon Associates CPAs and the Vermont Chamber of Commerce, revealed that while business owners do not see improvement in the Vermont and US economies, they are less pessimistic than they were in January. The survey also revealed that health insurance costs (60.1 percent) was the top issue, ahead of taxes (49.4 percent) and finding qualified emplolyees (48.9 percent). See results below

·         33% of businesses exclusive to Vermont believe the state’s economy is in decline (compared to 64% in January); 14% feel it is improving (compared to 8% previously) and 48% indicate there is no change (compared to 23% previously).

·         32% of businesses doing business outside the state believe the state’s economy is declining (compared to 51% previously); 18% feel it is improving (18% previously); and 47% see no change (23% previously).

Similarly, when asked to describe the current state of the U.S. economy, respondents in both groups appeared more positive than they did in January. Virtually the same percentage of businesses feel it is improving (35% in July, 34% in January), however only 21% believe it is declining (versus 30% in January), and 41% see no change at all (versus 30% in January).

What continues to be noteworthy within survey results is that even though 32% of respondents feel that the state’s economy is declining, 59% expect sales to increase (similar to the 54% who expected growth back in January). With that said, only 34% intend to increase hiring, and 39% intend to increase capital spending.

Respondents identified the top three key issues facing their business as health insurance costs (61%), Federal and State tax laws (50%), and finding qualified employees (50%). These are the same key issues that business owners have identified in the previous three semi-annual surveys.

Along those lines, when respondents were asked to identify one business economic issue they want to see addressed by the state legislature, a great majority of respondents continued to show frustration over increased taxes and regulations on their businesses.

“From this survey, it’s clear businesses are feeling the cumulative impact of increased taxes and mandates over the last several years and need to absorb these changes before adding more. This is consistent with voters putting the economy as their top issue in this election year,” said, Betsy Bishop, President of the Vermont Chamber of Commerce.

Business owners were once again asked if they had considered moving their residence outside of Vermont. Survey results revealed that more than half (55%) of respondents have considered or have put plans in motion to leave Vermont. As one respondent noted, “We are currently considering out of state real estate purchases for our next move within the next 2-4 years. My overall tax burden will be reduced by more than 61% by leaving Vermont. That alone is the difference between a strong future plan and a risky future in Vermont.”

Finally, respondents were asked to describe their mindset about doing business in Vermont and exactly half of those surveyed relayed that while doing business in Vermont has it’s challenges, they are committed to staying because their customers/clients/products/supply chain/environment are here.

“Since launching the semi-annual surveys in January 2012, I’ve noticed that the tone has been consistent among Vermont’s business owners. They are frustrated with the tax laws and business regulations and they want legislators to facilitate change. Many of the quotes captured in this recent survey express genuine concern for the future of the state’s economy and there’s clearly a strong desire to be heard,” said John Davis, managing partner of Davis & Hodgdon Associates.

Overall Survey Results:

 
 

Davis & Hodgdon Associates Semi-Annual Economic Survey

 

   
Please check the top three key issues facing your business in 2016:  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Minimum wage and overtime compensation changes
   
41 21.8%
Taxes (Federal and Vermont)
   
93 49.4%
Health insurance costs
   
113 60.1%
Finding qualified employees
   
92 48.9%
Sources of Financing
   
22 11.7%
Property tax (education funding)
   
62 32.9%
Internet security
   
33 17.5%
Succession planning
   
35 18.6%
Other
   
41 21.8%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
How would you describe the current state of Vermont's economy?  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Improving
   
32 17.0%
No change
   
87 46.2%
Declining
   
60 31.9%
Unsure/Do not know
   
7 3.7%
No Responses
   
2 1.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
How would you describe the current state of the U.S. economy?  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Improving
   
67 35.6%
No change
   
76 40.4%
Declining
   
39 20.7%
Unsure/Do not know
   
6 3.1%
No Responses
 
0 0.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
What is the one key business economic issue that you would like to see addressed by the state legislature?  
  Number of
Responses
  160
 
   
How do you expect your company's sales to change in the next six months?  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Increase by less than 10%
   
78 41.4%
Increase by 10-30%
   
29 15.4%
Increase by 30+%
   
3 1.5%
Decrease by less than 10%
   
15 7.9%
Decrease by 10-30%
   
11 5.8%
Decrease by 30+%
   
7 3.7%
No change
   
43 22.8%
No Responses
   
2 1.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
How do you expect your company's capital spending to change in the next six months?  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Increase by less than 10%
   
44 23.4%
Increase by 10-30%
   
28 14.8%
Increase by 30+%
   
2 1.0%
Decrease by less than 10%
   
11 5.8%
Decrease by 10-30%
   
18 9.5%
Decrease by 30+%
   
11 5.8%
No change
   
73 38.8%
No Responses
   
1 <1%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
How do you expect your company's employment to change in the next six months?  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Increase staffing by 1-3 people
   
44 23.4%
Increase staffing by 3+ people
   
24 12.7%
Decrease staffing by 1-3 people
   
13 6.9%
Decrease staffing by 3+ people
   
12 6.3%
No change
   
94 50.0%
No Responses
   
1 <1%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
Which statements below reflect your mindset about doing business in Vermont over the last 6 months.  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
I love doing business in Vermont.
   
34 18.3%
While doing business in Vermont has it's challenges, I'm committed to staying here because my customers/ clients/ products/ supply chain/ environment are here.
   
92 49.7%
I have thought about closing my business or moving it out of state
   
42 22.7%
Other
   
25 13.5%
  Totals 185 100%
 
   
Has Vermont's overall tax burden caused you to consider relocation of your residence in the last 12 months?   
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Yes, plans were put in motion
   
33 17.5%
Yes, but not serious consideration
   
70 37.2%
No
   
84 44.6%
No Responses
   
1 <1%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
Please indicate your business industry.  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Agriculture
 
0 0.0%
Artisan
   
5 2.6%
Construction
   
10 5.3%
Educational Services
   
3 1.5%
Finance & Insurance
   
21 11.1%
Health Care & Social Assistance
   
4 2.1%
Hotel & Restaurant
   
25 13.2%
Information
   
5 2.6%
Manufacturing
   
22 11.7%
Professional, Technical
   
34 18.0%
Retail trade
   
21 11.1%
Transportation & Warehousing
   
2 1.0%
Utilities
   
1 <1%
Wholesale Trade
   
5 2.6%
Other
   
30 15.9%
No Responses
 
0 0.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
County of Headquarters:  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Addison
   
11 5.8%
Bennington
   
10 5.3%
Caledonia
   
2 1.0%
Chittenden
   
67 35.6%
Essex
   
1 <1%
Franklin
   
8 4.2%
Lamoille
   
6 3.1%
Orange
   
4 2.1%
Orleans
   
5 2.6%
Rutland
   
17 9.0%
Washington
   
21 11.1%
Windham
   
17 9.0%
Windsor
   
17 9.0%
No Responses
   
2 1.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
Please indicate the scope of your marketplace.  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Exclusive to Vermont
   
42 22.3%
Multi-state
   
67 35.6%
National
   
34 18.0%
International
   
45 23.9%
No Responses
 
0 0.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
If the scope of your marketplace is at the multi-state, national, and/or international level, please indicate the percentage of your business done outside of Vermont.  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Less than 25%
   
54 28.7%
25-50%
   
27 14.3%
50-75%
   
15 7.9%
75+%
   
56 29.7%
No Responses
   
36 19.1%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
Please identify your total annual revenue in fiscal year 2015.  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
$0 - $250k
   
38 20.2%
$251k - $1M
   
36 19.1%
$1.1M - $3M
   
33 17.5%
$3M+
   
79 42.0%
No Responses
   
2 1.0%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
Please indicate your business' total number of employees including self.  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
1 - 10
   
80 42.5%
11 - 25
   
37 19.6%
26 - 50
   
24 12.7%
51 - 75
   
9 4.7%
75+
   
37 19.6%
No Responses
   
1 <1%
  Totals 188 100%
 
   
Please enter the information indicated below if you would like additional information including results. (optional)  
Answer Number of
Responses
First Name 85
Last Name 85
Company Name 85
Email Address 84
     
 
   
Would you be willing to discuss your survey answers?  
Answer
0% 100%
Number of
Responses
Response
Ratio
Yes
   
87 46.2%
No
   
85 45.2%
No Responses
   
16 8.5%
  Totals 188 100%
 

About the Survey

The non-scientific survey, customized by Davis & Hodgdon to evaluate small- to medium-sized businesses, was completed by 189 businesses located throughout the state. Full results below:

July 2016 survey results:  http://survey.constantcontact.com/survey/a07eceta4j3iluztax4/results

January 2016 survey results: http://survey.constantcontact.com/survey/a07ec2mlmj2ij1i5oo0/results

About Davis & Hodgdon

Davis & Hodgdon Associates CPAs is a full-service public accounting firm with locations in Williston and Rutland Vermont. The firm is a member of several diverse regional and statewide business organizations and serves its clients by providing progressive, proactive services through expert staff, high-end technology, and unparalleled efficiency.

About the Vermont Chamber of Commerce

The Vermont Chamber of Commerce is the largest statewide, private, not-for-profit business organization. The Chamber represents every sector of the state’s business community. Its mission is to create an economic climate conducive to business growth and the preservation of the Vermont quality of life.