Vermont Business Roundtable economic survey shows increasingly stable outlook through 2012

The chief executives of Vermontâ s leading businesses demonstrated an increasingly stable outlook in their economic forecasts for the coming six months, compared against the previous survey. The survey, which was completed between June 1 and June 15, was released today by Vermont Business Roundtable Chair Steve Voigt, CEO, King Arthur Flour and President Lisa Ventriss.
Key findings from the second quarter of 2012 over the first quarter of 2012 include:

An expected seven percent increase in stable company sales;
An expected six percent increase in stable capital spending; and,
An expected five percent increase in stable employment levels.

6 Months Forecast

2012 Q2
Increase

2012 Q2
No Change

2012 Q2
Decrease

Quarterly % Change
Increase

2012 Q1
Increase

2012 Q1
No Change

2012 Q1
Decrease

Sales

64%

32%

4%

(3%)

67%

25%

9%

Capital Spending

33%

58%

9%

(10%)

43%

53%

4%

Employment

32%

60%

8%

(4%)

36%

55%

9%

â The Roundtableâ s survey results indicate an increasing degree of optimism in the economy when compared against the previous quarter,’said Steve Voigt, Chair of the Vermont Business Roundtable and President and CEO of King Arthur Flour. â At the same time, there are several factors at play that could impair greater economic expansion in Vermont, including transportation fuel prices, health care reform efforts, a political election year, and the lingering effects of last yearâ s Tropical Storm Irene.â
The response rate for this quarter was 60 percent. Historically, rates have varied from 35 to 73 percent. The Roundtableâ s CEO Economic Outlook Survey provides a forward-looking view of the economic assumptions and attitudes of chief executive officers of 120 of the stateâ s top employers with an aggregate economic impact of $292 billion, with over $1.8 billion in global corporate philanthropy, and employing more than 10 percent of the stateâ s workforce. The members represent Vermontâ s agriculture, construction, education, health services, finance, real estate, insurance, hospitality/leisure, manufacturing, information, utilities, professional/business services, wholesale trade, and non-profit industries.
The Roundtable is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization of 118 CEOs of Vermont's top private and nonprofit employers, representing geographic diversity and all major sectors of the Vermont economy, with an aggregate economic impact of $292 billion, over $1.8 billion in corporate philanthropy, and employing more than 10 percent of the stateâ s workforce. The Roundtable is committed to sustaining a sound economy and preserving Vermontâ s unique quality of life by studying and making recommendations on statewide public policy issues.
VBR 6.19.2012