Today Secretary of Administration Jeb Spaulding and Irene Recovery Officer Neale Lunderville released updated information, damage, and cost estimates for Tropical Storm Irene. This update reflects Congressional waivers of the $100 million cap and 180-day emergency work limit for the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) Emergency Relief (ER) program, as well as a compilation of smaller changes.
Both the best and worst case models show the waivers for FHWA and the anticipated 90% cost share for FEMA Public Assistance. The principal differences between the models are the low and high range of damage estimates to the Federal-Aid Highway System ($175-250 million range), and an unresolved question about reimbursement for certain Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) costs. Both scenarios add new information and cost estimates as outline below.
‘We continue to monitor estimates daily and will update these figures every three to four weeks,’ said Secretary Spaulding.
The bottom line change from the last update to now (See also attachments):
October 31, 2011
December 2, 2011
Note
Worst case scenario
Total: $563,995,527
State share: $240,641,357
Total: $571,826,505
State share: $99,453,330
Big shift in state share reflects Congressional action on FHWA ER program.
Best case scenario
Total: $488,995,527
State share: $96,944,533
Total: $496,826,505
State share: $88,133,788
State share decrease mainly reflects changes to EMAC costs.
Line-by-line changes:
Row
Notes & Changes
1-2
Worst case represents $250 million in total damages to Federal ‘Aid Highway System. Best case represents $175 million in total damages.
1-4
No change to current estimate.
5-7
Adjusted FEMA/FHWA eligibility information for personnel, equipment, and commodities requested via Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC). In the worst case scenario, these changes has decreased state share to $10.1 million; in the best case, these change decrease the state share to $3.1 million.
5
$4.6M is FEMA eligible due to supporting State Emergency Operation Plan.
6
$2.6M National Guard work is not FEMA or FHWA eligible
7
$7.1M Maine and New Hampshire DOT assistance is FHWA ER eligible for 100% reimbursable in the best case and not reimbursable in the worst case.
8
Added Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) Emergency Watershed Program (EWP) to assist towns in need of stream bank stabilization, and debris and sediment removal along rivers and streams.
9
No change.
10
Public Assistance estimate increase to $145.7M from $140.0M.
11
No change.
12
FEMA has determined the deductible on the insurance policy is not eligible. Increase of state share by $225,000.
13
No change.
14-15
Updated estimates from FEMA.
16
Summary of State costs assume to be FEMA eligible.
17
Summary of State costs assume not to be FEMA eligible.
18
No change.
Vermont Agency of Administration 12.5.2011
AttachmentSize
Irene_Worst_Case_SummaryScenarios_December_2011.pdf106.22 KB
Irene_Best_Case_SummaryScenarios_December_2011.pdf107.91 KB