Unemployment rate drops to 6.6 percent, 1,000 jobs added

The Vermont Department of Labor announced today that the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for February 2010 was 6.6 percent, down one tenth of a point from the revised January rate and down one tenth of a point from a year ago.
“Vermont saw modest job growth across a number of sectors in our labor market in February,” said Patricia Moulton Powden, Commissioner of the Vermont Department of Labor. “While this is promising news, we would need to see this pattern continue to determine that employment recovery has begun in the state.”
Seasonal Job Growth
During non-recessionary periods this past decade unadjusted job counts have grown an average of 1,200 jobs from January to February. This year we saw an increase of 2,200 or 0.7%, a better than average performance. The annual rate of unadjusted job growth improved to -1.4%. Much of the seasonal job gains came from the Education & Health sector, (900 or 1.5%) the State Government Education sector, (1,400 or 17.8%) and the Local Government Education sector, (600 or 2.4%). These are mostly education support staff returning from their January breaks. We also saw seasonal job gains in Manufacturing, (200 or 0.7%) Leisure & Hospitality, (400 or 1.1%) and Administrative Support & Waste, (250 or 3.2%). The largest seasonal declines were observed in Retail Trade, (-300 or -0.8%) Construction, (-750 or -7.4%) Other Services, (-300 or -3.1%) and Other State Government, (-250 or -2.8%).
When seasonally adjusted, February payroll jobs grew by 1,000 jobs or 0.3% over January. This growth was led by the Administrative Support & Waste sector, (400 jobs or 4.7%) Local Government, (300 or 1.0%) Leisure & Hospitality, (200 or 0.6%) Manufacturing, (200 or 0.7%) and the Retail sector, (200 or 0.6%). Seasonally adjusted job losses were observed in the Construction sector, (-200 or -1.6%) and State Government, (-200 or -1.1%).
Employment Growth
Vermont’s February seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell one tenth of a point to 6.6% as a result of an increase of 1,500 in the number of employed and a small decline, (-200) in the level of unemployed. For comparison purposes, the US seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for February was 9.7 percent, unchanged from January, 2010.
February unemployment rates for Vermont’s 17 labor market areas ranged from 5.1 percent in Hartford to 11.0 percent in Newport. Local labor market area unemployment rates are not seasonally adjusted. For comparison, the February unadjusted unemployment rate for Vermont was 7.1 percent, down four-tenths of a point from January 2010 and down 0.3 points from a year ago.

Vermont Labor Force Statistics (Seasonally Adjusted)

Changes From

February
2010

January
2010

February
2009

January
2010

February
2009

Total Labor Force

361,300

359,900

361,100

1,400

200

Employment

337,400

335,900

337,000

1,500

400

Unemployment

23,900

24,100

24,100

-200

-200

Rate (%)

6.6

6.7

6.7

-0.1

-0.1

Vermont’s labor force, employment and unemployment statistics are produced from a combination of a Statewide survey of households and statistical modeling. The data are produced by the Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program (LAUS) a cooperative program with the US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Vermont Department of Labor.

Vermont Seasonally Adjusted Nonfarm Employment in Thousands

BY NAICS

Prelim.

Revised

Revised

Change From:

% Change From:

Feb-10

Jan-10

Feb-09

Jan-10

Feb-09

Jan-10

Feb-09

Total - All Industries

297.3

296.3

301.2

1.0

-3.9

0.3

-1.3

Private Industries

243.3

242.4

246.8

0.9

-3.5

0.4

-1.4

Construction

12.3

12.5

14.3

-0.2

-2.0

-1.6

-14.0

Manufacturing

30.6

30.4

32.8

0.2

-2.2

0.7

-6.7

Durable Goods

21.8

21.5

23.7

0.3

-1.9

1.4

-8.0

Non-Durable Goods

8.8

8.9

9.1

-0.1

-0.3

-1.1

-3.3

Trade, Transportation & Utilities

54.6

54.3

57.0

0.3

-2.4

0.6

-4.2

Retail Trade

36.5

36.3

38.6

0.2

-2.1

0.6

-5.4

Trans., Warehousing & Utilities

8.1

8.1

8.5

0.0

-0.4

0.0

-4.7

Financial Activities

12.5

12.4

12.5

0.1

0.0

0.8

0.0

Professional & Business Services

21.8

21.8

22.2

0.0

-0.4

0.0

-1.8

Professional., Scientific & Technical

12.7

12.8

13.1

-0.1

-0.8

-0.8

-3.1

Administrative Support & Waste

8.9

8.5

8.7

0.4

0.2

4.7

2.3

Education & Health Services

61.0

60.9

59.4

0.1

1.6

0.2

2.7

Private Ed. Services

13.0

12.8

13.3

0.2

-0.3

1.6

-2.3

Health Care & Social Assistance

48.0

48.1

46.1

-0.1

1.9

-0.2

4.1

Leisure & Hospitality

34.6

34.4

32.4

0.2

2.2

0.6

6.8

Arts, Entertainment & Recreation

3.7

3.7

4.0

0.0

-0.3

0.0

-7.5

Accommodation & Food Services

30.9

30.7

28.4

0.2

2.5

0.7

8.8

Other Services

9.6

9.9

9.6

-0.3

0.0

-3.0

0.0

Total Government

54.0

53.9

54.4

0.1

-0.4

0.2

-0.7

State Government

17.3

17.5

17.9

-0.2

-0.6

-1.1

-3.4

Local Government

30.3

30.0

30.2

0.3

0.1

1.0

0.3

Burlington-S. Burlington MSA

Total - All Industries

109.7

109.1

112.6

0.6

-2.9

0.5

-2.6

Statewide Total - All Industries estimate is seasonally adjusted independently.

Note: Beginning January 2009 Vermont is publishing a seasonally adjusted Total-All Industries estimate for the

Burlington - S. Burlington MSA.

Current Employment Statistics Program (CES). Produced by the Vermont Department of Labor in cooperation with the U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics.

ESTIMATED NONFARM EMPLOYMENT IN VERMONT

(not seasonally adjusted)

PRELIM

REVISED

REVISED

CHANGES FROM

% CHANGES FROM

INDUSTRY BY NAICS

Feb-10

Jan-10

Feb-09

Jan-10

Feb-09

Jan-10

Feb-09

TOTAL NONFARM

296,600

294,400

300,800

2,200

-4,200

0.7%

-1.4%

TOTAL PRIVATE

240,100

239,600

243,850

500

-3,750

0.2%

-1.5%

GOODS PRODUCING

40,400

40,950

44,700

-550

-4,300

-1.3%

-9.6%

MANUFACTURING

30,300

30,100

32,400

200

-2,100

0.7%

-6.5%

Durable Goods

21,750

21,350

23,500

400

-1,750

1.9%

-7.4%

Computer & Electrical Equipment Mfg.

7,650

7,750

8,300

-100

-650

-1.3%

-7.8%

Fabricated Metal Products Mfg.

2,350

2,350

2,450

0

-100

0.0%

-4.1%

Non-Durable Goods

8,550

8,750

8,900

-200

-350

-2.3%

-3.9%

Food Mfg.

3,800

3,900

3,850

-100

-50

-2.6%

-1.3%

CONSTRUCTION

9,400

10,150

11,600

-750

-2,200

-7.4%

-19.0%

MINING & LOGGING

700

700

700

0

0

0.0%

0.0%

SERVICE-PROVIDING

256,200

253,450

256,100

2,750

100

1.1%

0.0%

TRADE, TRANSPORTATION AND UTILITIES

53,350

53,500

56,100

-150

-2,750

-0.3%

-4.9%

Wholesale Trade

9,850

9,650

9,750

200

100

2.1%

1.0%

Retail Trade

35,500

35,800

38,000

-300

-2,500

-0.8%

-6.6%

Food & Beverage Stores

9,850

10,100

9,800

-250

50

-2.5%

0.5%

General Merchandise Store

2,800

2,900

2,650

-100

150

-3.4%

5.7%

Transportation, Warehousing and Utilities

8,000

8,050

8,350

-50

-350

-0.6%

-4.2%

Utilities

1,700

1,700

1,700

0

0

0.0%

0.0%

Transportation & Warehousing

6,300

6,350

6,650

-50

-350

-0.8%

-5.3%

INFORMATION

5,400

5,350

5,550

50

-150

0.9%

-2.7%

FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES

12,450

12,400

12,500

50

-50

0.4%

-0.4%

Finance & Insurance

9,500

9,450

9,450

50

50

0.5%

0.5%

Real Estate, Rental & Leasing

2,950

2,950

3,050

0

-100

0.0%

-3.3%

PROFESSIONAL AND BUSINESS SERVICES

20,950

20,850

21,250

100

-300

0.5%

-1.4%

Professional, Scientific and Technical

12,600

12,600

13,100

0

-500

0.0%

-3.8%

Administrative, Support and Waste

8,150

7,900

7,800

250

350

3.2%

4.5%

EDUCATIONAL AND HEALTH SERVICES

61,100

60,200

59,450

900

1,650

1.5%

2.8%

Educational Services

13,500

12,550

13,750

950

-250

7.6%

-1.8%

College, Universities and Professional

7,650

7,200

7,700

450

-50

6.3%

-0.6%

Health Care and Social Assistance

47,600

47,650

45,700

-50

1,900

-0.1%

4.2%

Ambulatory Health Care Services

15,800

15,800

15,600

0

200

0.0%

1.3%

Hospitals

12,850

12,900

12,300

-50

550

-0.4%

4.5%

Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

6,850

6,850

6,850

0

0

0.0%

0.0%

LEISURE AND HOSPITALITY

37,050

36,650

34,850

400

2,200

1.1%

6.3%

Arts, Entertainment and Recreation

3,350

3,300

3,700

50

-350

1.5%

-9.5%

Accommodation and Food Services

33,700

33,350

31,150

350

2,550

1.0%

8.2%

Accommodations

16,750

16,400

13,850

350

2,900

2.1%

20.9%

Hotels & Motels

14,400

14,300

13,000

100

1,400

0.7%

10.8%

Food Services and Drinking Places

16,950

16,950

17,300

0

-350

0.0%

-2.0%

OTHER SERVICES

9,400

9,700

9,450

-300

-50

-3.1%

-0.5%

GOVERNMENT

56,500

54,800

56,950

1,700

-450

3.1%

-0.8%

Federal Government

6,350

6,450

6,400

-100

-50

-1.6%

-0.8%

State Government Education

9,250

7,850

9,300

1,400

-50

17.8%

-0.5%

Local Government Education

25,100

24,500

24,900

600

200

2.4%

0.8%

Other State Government

8,800

9,050

9,300

-250

-500

-2.8%

-5.4%

Other Local Government

7,000

6,950

7,050

50

-50

0.7%

-0.7%

Note: CES PROGRAM DATA ARE PRDUCED IN COOPERATION WITH THE U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS

ESTIMATES ARE PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. SEE ANNUAL SUMMARY FOR DETAILS

Beginning with the January ’09 estimates CES has implemented a change to the

Super Sector previously titled “Natural Resources & Mining” to “Mining & Logging”.

It’s merely a change of title to better reflect the true makeup of the Super Sector in CES.

VERMONT LABOR FORCE AND UNEMPLOYMENT

LABOR MARKET AREAS BY RESIDENCE (Not Seasonally Adjusted)

February 2010 Estimates

Total

Number

Number

Feb-10

Jan-10

Feb-09

Area

Labor Force

Employed

Unemployed

Rate (%)

Rate (%)

Rate (%)

Barre-Montpelier

29,500

27,200

2,300

7.8

8.6

8.2

Bennington

13,250

12,250

1,050

7.8

8.0

9.6

Bradford

4,900

4,400

500

10.1

10.0

10.2

Brattleboro

24,650

23,050

1,600

6.4

6.8

6.4

Burlington-South Burlington

113,150

106,550

6,600

5.8

6.4

6.3

Hartford

19,800

18,800

1,000

5.1

5.0

4.7

Manchester

12,450

11,550

950

7.6

7.7

7.8

Middlebury

17,850

16,400

1,400

8.0

8.1

8.0

Morristown-Stowe

20,900

19,150

1,750

8.3

8.5

8.6

Newport

14,250

12,700

1,550

11.0

11.0

11.9

Randolph

8,600

7,850

750

8.5

8.8

8.7

Rutland

28,150

26,000

2,150

7.6

7.8

7.8

Springfield

13,300

12,350

950

7.2

7.4

7.1

St. Johnsbury

14,750

13,500

1,250

8.5

8.8

8.7

Swanton-Enosburg

14,300

13,050

1,250

8.7

9.0

9.3

Warren-Waitsfield

4,600

4,400

200

4.4

4.6

4.3

Woodstock

3,450

3,250

200

5.9

6.1

5.2

Vermont Total

360,200

334,550

25,650

7.1

7.5

7.4

Note: Unemployment rate is calculated as the number of unemployed divided by total labor force and expressed as a percent.

Source: Vermont Department of Labor LAUS program in cooperation with the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Source: VT DOL. 3.26